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USA アメリカ USLチャンピオンシップ · 試合 ·

モントレーベイFC vs ニューメキシコ・ユナイテッド

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–22.53 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利40%
引き分け27%
アウェイ勝利34%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利40% selection probability
Projected score1–2モントレーベイFCニューメキシコ・ユナイテッド
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー54% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
40% / 27% / 34%試合結果ホーム勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)ダブルチャンス1273.4%1.36
オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%Goals 2.5アンダー54%1.85
はい 47% · いいえ 53%両チーム得点いいえ53%1.89
2.53 total expected goals正確なスコア1–2
8.8 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapニューメキシコ・ユナイテッド winDifference+2.0 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
モントレーベイFC win40%2.502.1541.7%-1.7 pp
引き分け27%3.703.4026.3%+0.7 pp
ニューメキシコ・ユナイテッド win34%2.942.8032%+2.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

モントレーベイFC0.85

ホーム share of expected goals 33.6%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%

ニューメキシコ・ユナイテッド1.68

アウェイ share of expected goals 66.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitはい 47% · いいえ 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

モントレーベイFC

0.20pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn1Losses4ポイント1

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ニューメキシコ・ユナイテッド

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
勝ち probability excluding draw
34%
1
Points from supplied form
13
0.85
Expected goals
1.68
モントレーベイFCニューメキシコ・ユナイテッド
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01モントレーベイFC signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ニューメキシコ・ユナイテッド signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

モントレーベイFC vs ニューメキシコ・ユナイテッド FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

モントレーベイFC 勝ち 40%,引き分け 27%,ニューメキシコ・ユナイテッド 勝ち 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · オーバー 2.5 46% · Current selection アンダー