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USA USA USL Championship · Αγώνας ·

Μοντερέι Μπέι ΦΚ vs Νέο Μεξικό Γιουνάιτεντ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–22.53 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου40%
Ισοπαλία27%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου34%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου40% selection probability
Projected score1–2Μοντερέι Μπέι ΦΚΝέο Μεξικό Γιουνάιτεντ
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω54% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
40% / 27% / 34%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1273.4%1.36
Άνω 46% · Κάτω 54%Goals 2.5Κάτω54%1.85
Ναι 47% · Όχι 53%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι53%1.89
2.53 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–2
8.8 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapΝέο Μεξικό Γιουνάιτεντ winDifference+2.0 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Μοντερέι Μπέι ΦΚ win40%2.502.1541.7%-1.7 pp
Ισοπαλία27%3.703.4026.3%+0.7 pp
Νέο Μεξικό Γιουνάιτεντ win34%2.942.8032%+2.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Μοντερέι Μπέι ΦΚ0.85

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 33.6%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 46% · Κάτω 54%

Νέο Μεξικό Γιουνάιτεντ1.68

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 66.4%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitΝαι 47% · Όχι 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Μοντερέι Μπέι ΦΚ

0.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Πόντοι1

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Νέο Μεξικό Γιουνάιτεντ

2.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Πόντοι13

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
34%
1
Points from supplied form
13
0.85
Expected goals
1.68
Μοντερέι Μπέι ΦΚΝέο Μεξικό Γιουνάιτεντ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Μοντερέι Μπέι ΦΚ signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Νέο Μεξικό Γιουνάιτεντ signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Μοντερέι Μπέι ΦΚ vs Νέο Μεξικό Γιουνάιτεντ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Μοντερέι Μπέι ΦΚ νίκη 40%,Ισοπαλία 27%,Νέο Μεξικό Γιουνάιτεντ νίκη 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Άνω 2.5 46% · Current selection Κάτω