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USA USA USL Championship · Αγώνας ·

Νέο Μεξικό Γιουνάιτεντ vs Όριντζ Κάουντι SC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score2–12.69 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου41%
Ισοπαλία28%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου30%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου41% selection probability
Projected score2–1Νέο Μεξικό ΓιουνάιτεντΌριντζ Κάουντι SC
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω50% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
41% / 28% / 30%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.5%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1271.5%1.40
Άνω 50% · Κάτω 50%Goals 2.5Άνω50%2.00
Ναι 54% · Όχι 46%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι54%1.85
2.69 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ2–1
9.4 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Νέο Μεξικό Γιουνάιτεντ win41%2.44
Ισοπαλία28%3.57
Όριντζ Κάουντι SC win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Νέο Μεξικό Γιουνάιτεντ1.53

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 50% · Κάτω 50%

Όριντζ Κάουντι SC1.16

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitΝαι 54% · Όχι 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Νέο Μεξικό Γιουνάιτεντ

2.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Πόντοι13

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Όριντζ Κάουντι SC

2.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Πόντοι11

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
30%
13
Points from supplied form
11
1.53
Expected goals
1.16
Νέο Μεξικό ΓιουνάιτεντΌριντζ Κάουντι SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Νέο Μεξικό Γιουνάιτεντ signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Όριντζ Κάουντι SC signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Νέο Μεξικό Γιουνάιτεντ vs Όριντζ Κάουντι SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Νέο Μεξικό Γιουνάιτεντ νίκη 41%,Ισοπαλία 28%,Όριντζ Κάουντι SC νίκη 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Άνω 2.5 50% · Current selection Άνω