Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 28% / 30%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Double chance1271.6%1.40
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Over50%2.00
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.69 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
New Mexico United win41%2.44
Draw28%3.57
Orange County SC win30%3.33
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 56.9%
Total expected goals2.69Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%
Away share of expected goals 43.1%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchNew Mexico United
WWWWD
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.20pts / matchOrange County SC
WWDDW
Played5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Points11
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
41%
Win probability excluding draw
30%13
Points from supplied form
111.53
Expected goals
1.16New Mexico UnitedOrange County SC
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
New Mexico United vs Orange County SC FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
New Mexico United win 41%，Draw 28%，Orange County SC win 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.69 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Over。