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USA USA USL Championship · Zápas ·

New Mexico United vs Orange County SC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–12.69 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích41%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostů30%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích41% selection probability
Projected score2–1New Mexico UnitedOrange County SC
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Více50% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
41% / 28% / 30%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Dvojitá šance1271.6%1.40
Více 50% · Méně 50%Goals 2.5Více50%2.00
Ano 54% · Ne 46%Oba týmy skórujíAno54%1.85
2.69 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–1
9.4 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
New Mexico United win41%2.44
Remíza28%3.57
Orange County SC win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

New Mexico United1.53

Domácí share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 50% · Méně 50%

Orange County SC1.16

Hosté share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitAno 54% · Ne 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

New Mexico United

2.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Body13

SignalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Orange County SC

2.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Body11

SignalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Výhra probability excluding draw
30%
13
Points from supplied form
11
1.53
Expected goals
1.16
New Mexico UnitedOrange County SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01New Mexico United signalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Orange County SC signalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

New Mexico United vs Orange County SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

New Mexico United výhra 41%,Remíza 28%,Orange County SC výhra 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Více 2.5 50% · Current selection Více