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USA アメリカ USLチャンピオンシップ · 試合 ·

ニューメキシコ・ユナイテッド vs オレンジカウンティSC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.69 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利41%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利30%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利41% selection probability
Projected score2–1ニューメキシコ・ユナイテッドオレンジカウンティSC
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー50% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
41% / 28% / 30%試合結果ホーム勝利41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)ダブルチャンス1271.6%1.40
オーバー 50% · アンダー 50%Goals 2.5オーバー50%2.00
はい 54% · いいえ 46%両チーム得点はい54%1.85
2.69 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ニューメキシコ・ユナイテッド win41%2.44
引き分け28%3.57
オレンジカウンティSC win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ニューメキシコ・ユナイテッド1.53

ホーム share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 50% · アンダー 50%

オレンジカウンティSC1.16

アウェイ share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 54% · いいえ 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ニューメキシコ・ユナイテッド

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

オレンジカウンティSC

2.20pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn2Losses0ポイント11

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
勝ち probability excluding draw
30%
13
Points from supplied form
11
1.53
Expected goals
1.16
ニューメキシコ・ユナイテッドオレンジカウンティSC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ニューメキシコ・ユナイテッド signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02オレンジカウンティSC signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

ニューメキシコ・ユナイテッド vs オレンジカウンティSC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ニューメキシコ・ユナイテッド 勝ち 41%,引き分け 28%,オレンジカウンティSC 勝ち 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · オーバー 2.5 50% · Current selection オーバー