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USA USA USL Championship · Матч ·

Нью-Мексико Юнайтед vs СК Оранж Каунти

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.69 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев41%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей30%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев41% selection probability
Projected score2–1Нью-Мексико ЮнайтедСК Оранж Каунти
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше50% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
41% / 28% / 30%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Двойной шанс1271.6%1.40
Больше 50% · Меньше 50%Goals 2.5Больше50%2.00
Да 54% · Нет 46%Обе забьютДа54%1.85
2.69 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Нью-Мексико Юнайтед win41%2.44
Ничья28%3.57
СК Оранж Каунти win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Нью-Мексико Юнайтед1.53

Хозяева share of expected goals 56.9%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 50% · Меньше 50%

СК Оранж Каунти1.16

Гости share of expected goals 43.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 54% · Нет 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Нью-Мексико Юнайтед

2.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Баллы13

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

СК Оранж Каунти

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
30%
13
Points from supplied form
11
1.53
Expected goals
1.16
Нью-Мексико ЮнайтедСК Оранж Каунти
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Нью-Мексико Юнайтед signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02СК Оранж Каунти signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Нью-Мексико Юнайтед vs СК Оранж Каунти FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Нью-Мексико Юнайтед выигрыш 41%,Ничья 28%,СК Оранж Каунти выигрыш 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · ТБ 2.5 50% · Current selection Больше