Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 26% / 34%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Double chance1273.9%1.35
Over 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Over66%1.52
Yes 67% · No 33%Both teams scoreYes67%1.49
3.41 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2——
11.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Polonia Bytom win40%2.50
Draw26%3.85
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win34%2.94
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 53.1%
Total expected goals3.41Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 66% · Under 34%
Away share of expected goals 46.9%
Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 67% · No 33%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchPolonia Bytom
LDLWL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchPogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
DWWWL
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalAway unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
40%
Win probability excluding draw
34%4
Points from supplied form
101.81
Expected goals
1.60Polonia BytomPogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Polonia Bytom win 40%，Draw 26%，Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win 34%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.41 · Over 2.5 66% · Current selection Over。