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Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–23.42 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa40%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite34%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa40% selection probability
Projected score2–2Polonia BytomPogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Expected goals3.42Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra66% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano67% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
40% / 26% / 34%Esito partitaVittoria casa40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Doppia Chance1273.9%1.35
Sopra 66% · Sotto 34%Goals 2.5Sopra66%1.52
Sì 67% · No 33%Entrambe le squadre segnano67%1.49
3.42 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–2
11.0 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Polonia Bytom win40%2.50
Pareggio26%3.85
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Bytom1.81

Casa share of expected goals 52.9%

Total expected goals3.42Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 66% · Sotto 34%

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki1.61

Trasferta share of expected goals 47.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 67% · No 33%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Polonia Bytom

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vinta probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.81
Expected goals
1.61
Polonia BytomPogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Bytom signalCasa matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Bytom vinta 40%,Pareggio 26%,Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vinta 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · Sopra 2.5 66% · Current selection Sopra