MatchFormula Hitta en match
Menu
UTC+8
TidszonAsia/Shanghai
Svenska
POL Poland I Liga · Match ·

Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–23.42 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger40%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger34%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger40% selection probability
Projected score2–2Polonia BytomPogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Expected goals3.42Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över66% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa67% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
40% / 26% / 34%MatchresultatHemmaseger40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Dubbelchans1273.9%1.35
Över 66% · Under 34%Goals 2.5Över66%1.52
Ja 67% · Nej 33%Båda lagen gör målJa67%1.49
3.42 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
11.0 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Polonia Bytom win40%2.50
Oavgjort26%3.85
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Bytom1.81

Hemma share of expected goals 52.9%

Total expected goals3.42Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 66% · Under 34%

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki1.61

Borta share of expected goals 47.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 67% · Nej 33%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Polonia Bytom

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.81
Expected goals
1.61
Polonia BytomPogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Bytom signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Bytom vunnen 40%,Oavgjort 26%,Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vunnen 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · Över 2.5 66% · Current selection Över