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ポロニアビトム vs ポゴン・グロジスク・マゾビエツキ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–23.42 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利40%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利34%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利40% selection probability
Projected score2–2ポロニアビトムポゴン・グロジスク・マゾビエツキ
Expected goals3.42始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー66% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい67% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
40% / 26% / 34%試合結果ホーム勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)ダブルチャンス1273.9%1.35
オーバー 66% · アンダー 34%Goals 2.5オーバー66%1.52
はい 67% · いいえ 33%両チーム得点はい67%1.49
3.42 total expected goals正確なスコア2–2
11.0 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
ポロニアビトム win40%2.50
引き分け26%3.85
ポゴン・グロジスク・マゾビエツキ win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ポロニアビトム1.81

ホーム share of expected goals 52.9%

Total expected goals3.42始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 66% · アンダー 34%

ポゴン・グロジスク・マゾビエツキ1.61

アウェイ share of expected goals 47.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitはい 67% · いいえ 33%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ポロニアビトム

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ポゴン・グロジスク・マゾビエツキ

2.00pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn1Losses1ポイント10

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
勝ち probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.81
Expected goals
1.61
ポロニアビトムポゴン・グロジスク・マゾビエツキ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ポロニアビトム signalホーム matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ポゴン・グロジスク・マゾビエツキ signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

ポロニアビトム vs ポゴン・グロジスク・マゾビエツキ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ポロニアビトム 勝ち 40%,引き分け 26%,ポゴン・グロジスク・マゾビエツキ 勝ち 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · オーバー 2.5 66% · Current selection オーバー