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POL Poland I Liga · Meci ·

Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–23.42 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde40%
Egal26%
Victorie oaspeți34%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde40% selection probability
Projected score2–2Polonia BytomPogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Expected goals3.42Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste66% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa67% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
40% / 26% / 34%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Șansă dublă1273.9%1.35
Peste 66% · Sub 34%Goals 2.5Peste66%1.52
Da 67% · Nu 33%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa67%1.49
3.42 total expected goalsScor corect2–2
11.0 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
Polonia Bytom win40%2.50
Egal26%3.85
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Bytom1.81

Gazde share of expected goals 52.9%

Total expected goals3.42Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 66% · Sub 34%

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki1.61

Oaspeți share of expected goals 47.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitDa 67% · Nu 33%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Polonia Bytom

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Câștig probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.81
Expected goals
1.61
Polonia BytomPogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Bytom signalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki signalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Bytom câștig 40%,Egal 26%,Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki câștig 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · Peste 2.5 66% · Current selection Peste