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POL Poland I Liga · Mérkőzés ·

Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–23.42 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem40%
Döntetlen26%
Vendég győzelem34%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem40% selection probability
Projected score2–2Polonia BytomPogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Expected goals3.42Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett66% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen67% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
40% / 26% / 34%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Dupla esély1273.9%1.35
Felett 66% · Alatt 34%Goals 2.5Felett66%1.52
Igen 67% · Nem 33%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen67%1.49
3.42 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–2
11.0 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Polonia Bytom win40%2.50
Döntetlen26%3.85
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Polonia Bytom1.81

Hazai share of expected goals 52.9%

Total expected goals3.42Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 66% · Alatt 34%

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki1.61

Vendég share of expected goals 47.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitIgen 67% · Nem 33%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Polonia Bytom

0.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontok4

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

2.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontok10

SignalVendég unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Nyert probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.81
Expected goals
1.61
Polonia BytomPogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Polonia Bytom signalHazai matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki signalVendég unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Polonia Bytom vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Polonia Bytom nyer 40%,Döntetlen 26%,Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki nyer 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · 2.5 felett 66% · Current selection Felett