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POL 波蘭乙級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

波隆尼亞比托姆 vs Pogon馬佐夫舍格羅濟斯克

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–23.42 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝40%
26%
客勝34%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝40% selection probability
Projected score2–2波隆尼亞比托姆Pogon馬佐夫舍格羅濟斯克
Expected goals3.42初盤 match profile
Goals 2.566% for the selected side
雙方進球67% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
40% / 26% / 34%比賽結果主勝40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)雙重機會1273.9%1.35
大 66% · 小 34%Goals 2.566%1.52
是 67% · 否 33%雙方進球67%1.49
3.42 total expected goals正確比分2–2
11.0 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
波隆尼亞比托姆 win40%2.50
26%3.85
Pogon馬佐夫舍格羅濟斯克 win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

波隆尼亞比托姆1.81

主隊 share of expected goals 52.9%

Total expected goals3.42初盤

Dedicated goals model: 66% · 34%

Pogon馬佐夫舍格羅濟斯克1.61

客隊 share of expected goals 47.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 67% · 33%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

波隆尼亞比托姆

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

Pogon馬佐夫舍格羅濟斯克

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
贏 probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.81
Expected goals
1.61
波隆尼亞比托姆Pogon馬佐夫舍格羅濟斯克
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01波隆尼亞比托姆 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon馬佐夫舍格羅濟斯克 signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

波隆尼亞比托姆 vs Pogon馬佐夫舍格羅濟斯克 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

波隆尼亞比托姆 40%, 26%,Pogon馬佐夫舍格羅濟斯克 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · 大2.5 66% · Current selection