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POL Poland I Liga · Fixture ·

Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Away form
Home win42%
Draw25%
Away win33%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win42% selection probability
Projected score2–1Miedz LegnicaArka Gdynia
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side
Expected corners11.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 25% / 33%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Double chance1275.3%1.33
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.88 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
11.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Miedz Legnica win42%2.38
Draw25%4.00
Arka Gdynia win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Miedz Legnica1.53

Home share of expected goals 53.1%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

Arka Gdynia1.35

Away share of expected goals 46.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Miedz Legnica

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Arka Gdynia

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Win probability excluding draw
33%
10
Points from supplied form
12
1.53
Expected goals
1.35
Miedz LegnicaArka Gdynia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Miedz Legnica signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arka Gdynia signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Miedz Legnica win 42%,Draw 25%,Arka Gdynia win 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over