What is the Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Siedlce prediction?

The prediction is Home win, with a projected score of 1–1 and a selected-call probability of 38%.

What are the Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Siedlce 1X2 probabilities?

Lechia Gdansk win 38%, draw 28%, and Pogon Siedlce win 34%.

How many goals are expected in Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Siedlce?

The displayed projection is 2.85 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 54%.

MatchFormula Find a match

UTC+8

POL Poland I Liga · Fixture · Sat, Aug 22, 02:30

Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Siedlce

Market-based forecast，stats and analysis

Home form

Projected score1–12.85 expected goals

Away form

Home win38%

Draw28%

Away win34%

Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 38% selection probability

Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win38% selection probability

Projected score1–1Lechia Gdansk — Pogon Siedlce

Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile

Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side

Both teams scoreYes59% for the selected side

Expected corners11.1Over 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds

38% / 28% / 34%Match resultHome win38%2.63

Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Double chance1271.6%1.40

Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85

Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69

2.85 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——

11.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——

Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone

OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

Lechia Gdansk win38%2.632.4037.2%—

Draw28%3.573.1028.8%—

Pogon Siedlce win34%2.942.6334%—

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lechia Gdansk1.48

Home share of expected goals 51.9%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Pogon Siedlce1.37

Away share of expected goals 48.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Lechia Gdansk

0.20pts / match

Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Pogon Siedlce

1.20pts / match

Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

38%

Win probability excluding draw

34%

Points from supplied form

1.48

Expected goals

1.37

Lechia GdanskPogon Siedlce

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lechia Gdansk signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon Siedlce signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions