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POL Poland I Liga · Partido ·

Lechia Gdansk vs MKP Pogoń Siedlce

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.85 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local38%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante34%
Market-based forecastVictoria localTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lechia GdanskMKP Pogoń Siedlce
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de54% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan59% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
38% / 28% / 34%Resultado del partidoVictoria local38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Doble Oportunidad1271.6%1.40
Más de 54% · Menos de 46%Goals 2.5Más de54%1.85
Sí 59% · No 41%Ambos equipos marcan59%1.69
2.85 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
11.1 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNinguno
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lechia Gdansk win38%2.632.4037.2%
Empate28%3.573.1028.8%
MKP Pogoń Siedlce win34%2.942.6334%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lechia Gdansk1.48

Local share of expected goals 51.9%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 54% · Menos de 46%

MKP Pogoń Siedlce1.37

Visitante share of expected goals 48.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Lechia Gdansk

0.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puntos1

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

MKP Pogoń Siedlce

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puntos6

SignalLocal failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Ganado probability excluding draw
34%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.48
Expected goals
1.37
Lechia GdanskMKP Pogoń Siedlce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lechia Gdansk signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MKP Pogoń Siedlce signalLocal failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Lechia Gdansk vs MKP Pogoń Siedlce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lechia Gdansk ganada 38%,Empate 28%,MKP Pogoń Siedlce ganada 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Más de 2.5 54% · Current selection Más de