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POL Poland I Liga · Mecz ·

Lechia Gdańsk vs MKP Pogoń Siedlce

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.85 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy38%
Remis28%
Wygrana gości34%
Market-based forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lechia GdańskMKP Pogoń Siedlce
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej54% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak59% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
38% / 28% / 34%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Podwójna szansa1271.6%1.40
Powyżej 54% · Poniżej 46%Goals 2.5Powyżej54%1.85
Tak 59% · Nie 41%Obie drużyny strzeląTak59%1.69
2.85 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
11.1 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimBrak
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lechia Gdańsk win38%2.632.4037.2%
Remis28%3.573.1028.8%
MKP Pogoń Siedlce win34%2.942.6334%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lechia Gdańsk1.48

Gospodarze share of expected goals 51.9%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 54% · Poniżej 46%

MKP Pogoń Siedlce1.37

Goście share of expected goals 48.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 59% · Nie 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Lechia Gdańsk

0.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkty1

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

MKP Pogoń Siedlce

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkty6

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
34%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.48
Expected goals
1.37
Lechia GdańskMKP Pogoń Siedlce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lechia Gdańsk signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MKP Pogoń Siedlce signalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Lechia Gdańsk vs MKP Pogoń Siedlce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lechia Gdańsk wygrana 38%,Remis 28%,MKP Pogoń Siedlce wygrana 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Powyżej 2.5 54% · Current selection Powyżej