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POL Poland I Liga · Kamp ·

Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Siedlce

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.85 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr38%
Uafgjort28%
Udesejr34%
Market-based forecastHjemmesejrTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lechia GdanskPogon Siedlce
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
38% / 28% / 34%KampresultatHjemmesejr38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Dobbeltchance1271.6%1.40
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Ja 59% · Nej 41%Begge hold scorerJa59%1.69
2.85 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
11.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lechia Gdansk win38%2.632.4037.2%
Uafgjort28%3.573.1028.8%
Pogon Siedlce win34%2.942.6334%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lechia Gdansk1.48

Hjemme share of expected goals 51.9%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Pogon Siedlce1.37

Ude share of expected goals 48.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nej 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Lechia Gdansk

0.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Point1

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Pogon Siedlce

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Point6

SignalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Vundet probability excluding draw
34%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.48
Expected goals
1.37
Lechia GdanskPogon Siedlce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lechia Gdansk signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon Siedlce signalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Siedlce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lechia Gdansk vundet 38%,Uafgjort 28%,Pogon Siedlce vundet 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over