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POL Poland I Liga · Match ·

Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Siedlce

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.85 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile38%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur34%
Market-based forecastVictoire à domicileTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lechia GdanskPogon Siedlce
Expected goals2.85Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de54% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui59% for the selected side
Expected corners11.1Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
38% / 28% / 34%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Double chance1271.6%1.40
Plus de 54% · Moins de 46%Goals 2.5Plus de54%1.85
Oui 59% · Non 41%Les deux équipes marquentOui59%1.69
2.85 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
11.1 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimAucun
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lechia Gdansk win38%2.632.4037.2%
Nul28%3.573.1028.8%
Pogon Siedlce win34%2.942.6334%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lechia Gdansk1.48

Domicile share of expected goals 51.9%

Total expected goals2.85Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 54% · Moins de 46%

Pogon Siedlce1.37

Extérieur share of expected goals 48.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 59% · Non 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Lechia Gdansk

0.20pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Pogon Siedlce

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gagné probability excluding draw
34%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.48
Expected goals
1.37
Lechia GdanskPogon Siedlce
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lechia Gdansk signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pogon Siedlce signalDomicile failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Siedlce FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lechia Gdansk victoire 38%,Nul 28%,Pogon Siedlce victoire 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.85 · Plus de 2.5 54% · Current selection Plus de