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ESP スペイン プリメーラディビシオンRFEF - グループ1 · 試合 ·

UDオウレンセ vs ポンフェラディーナ

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.43 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利37%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利35%
Market-based forecastホーム勝利Tier B · 37% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利37% selection probability
Projected score1–1UDオウレンセポンフェラディーナ
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー56% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
37% / 28% / 35%試合結果ホーム勝利37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)ダブルチャンス1272%1.39
オーバー 44% · アンダー 56%Goals 2.5アンダー56%1.79
はい 50% · いいえ 50%両チーム得点いいえ50%2.00
2.43 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.9 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UDオウレンセ win37%2.702.5036%
引き分け28%3.573.2028.1%
ポンフェラディーナ win35%2.862.5036%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UDオウレンセ1.26

ホーム share of expected goals 51.9%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 44% · アンダー 56%

ポンフェラディーナ1.17

アウェイ share of expected goals 48.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 50% · いいえ 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

UDオウレンセ

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ポンフェラディーナ

1.00pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn2Losses2ポイント5

Signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
勝ち probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.26
Expected goals
1.17
UDオウレンセポンフェラディーナ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UDオウレンセ signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ポンフェラディーナ signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

UDオウレンセ vs ポンフェラディーナ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UDオウレンセ 勝ち 37%,引き分け 28%,ポンフェラディーナ 勝ち 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · オーバー 2.5 44% · Current selection アンダー