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ESP Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · Maç ·

UD Ourense vs Ponferradina

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score1–12.43 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır37%
Beraberlik28%
Deplasman kazanır35%
Market-based forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier B · 37% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır37% selection probability
Projected score1–1UD OurensePonferradina
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt56% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
37% / 28% / 35%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Çifte Şans1272%1.39
Üst 44% · Alt 56%Goals 2.5Alt56%1.79
Evet 50% · Hayır 50%Karşılıklı gol varHayır50%2.00
2.43 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
8.9 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimYok
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD Ourense win37%2.702.5036%
Beraberlik28%3.573.2028.1%
Ponferradina win35%2.862.5036%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UD Ourense1.26

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 51.9%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 44% · Alt 56%

Ponferradina1.17

Deplasman share of expected goals 48.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 50% · Hayır 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

UD Ourense

0.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puan4

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Ponferradina

1.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puan5

SignalDeplasman matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.26
Expected goals
1.17
UD OurensePonferradina
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UD Ourense signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ponferradina signalDeplasman matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

UD Ourense vs Ponferradina FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UD Ourense kazanç 37%,Beraberlik 28%,Ponferradina kazanç 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · 2.5 Üst 44% · Current selection Alt