Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
37% / 28% / 35%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Dubbele Kans1272%1.39
Boven 44% · Onder 56%Goals 2.5Onder56%1.79
Ja 50% · Nee 50%Beide teams scorenNee50%2.00
2.43 total expected goalsExacte score1–1——
8.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD Ourense win37%2.702.5036%—
Gelijkspel28%3.573.2028.1%—
Ponferradina win35%2.862.5036%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 51.9%
Total expected goals2.43Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Boven 44% · Onder 56%
Uit share of expected goals 48.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nee 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchUD Ourense
WLDLL
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4
SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchPonferradina
DLWLD
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5
SignalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
37%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
35%4
Points from supplied form
51.26
Expected goals
1.17UD OurensePonferradina
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
UD Ourense vs Ponferradina FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
UD Ourense gewonnen 37%，Gelijkspel 28%，Ponferradina gewonnen 35%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.43 · Boven 2.5 44% · Current selection Onder。