Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
37% / 28% / 35%SpielergebnisHeimsieg37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Doppelte Chance1272%1.39
Über 44% · Unter 56%Goals 2.5Unter56%1.79
Ja 50% · Nein 50%Beide Teams treffenNein50%2.00
2.43 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1——
8.9 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UD Ourense win37%2.702.5036%—
Unentschieden28%3.573.2028.1%—
Ponferradina win35%2.862.5036%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Heim share of expected goals 51.9%
Total expected goals2.43Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Über 44% · Unter 56%
Auswärts share of expected goals 48.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nein 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Heim-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchUD Ourense
WLDLL
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4
SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5
Auswärts-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchPonferradina
DLWLD
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5
SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
37%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
35%4
Points from supplied form
51.26
Expected goals
1.17UD OurensePonferradina
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
UD Ourense vs Ponferradina FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
UD Ourense Gewinn 37%，Unentschieden 28%，Ponferradina Gewinn 35%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.43 · Über 2.5 44% · Current selection Unter。