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ESP Испания - Дивизион Примера - Группа 1 · Матч ·

УД Оренсе vs Понферрадина

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–12.43 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев37%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей35%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 37% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев37% selection probability
Projected score1–1УД ОренсеПонферрадина
Expected goals2.43Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше56% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет50% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
37% / 28% / 35%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Двойной шанс1272%1.39
Больше 44% · Меньше 56%Goals 2.5Меньше56%1.79
Да 50% · Нет 50%Обе забьютНет50%2.00
2.43 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.9 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
УД Оренсе win37%2.702.5036%
Ничья28%3.573.2028.1%
Понферрадина win35%2.862.5036%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

УД Оренсе1.26

Хозяева share of expected goals 51.9%

Total expected goals2.43Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 44% · Меньше 56%

Понферрадина1.17

Гости share of expected goals 48.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 50% · Нет 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

УД Оренсе

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Понферрадина

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
5
1.26
Expected goals
1.17
УД ОренсеПонферрадина
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01УД Оренсе signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Понферрадина signalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

УД Оренсе vs Понферрадина FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

УД Оренсе выигрыш 37%,Ничья 28%,Понферрадина выигрыш 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.43 · ТБ 2.5 44% · Current selection Меньше