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ESP Испания - Дивизион Примера - Группа 1 · Матч ·

Самора КФ vs Бильбао Атлетик Б

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.33 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев45%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей26%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Самора КФБильбао Атлетик Б
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше59% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
45% / 30% / 26%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Бильбао Атлетик Б win (25.7%)Двойной шанс1X74.3%1.35
Больше 41% · Меньше 59%Goals 2.5Меньше59%1.69
Да 43% · Нет 57%Обе забьютНет57%1.75
2.33 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapСамора КФ winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Самора КФ win45%2.222.0543.7%+1.3 pp
Ничья30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp
Бильбао Атлетик Б win26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Самора КФ1.55

Хозяева share of expected goals 66.5%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 41% · Меньше 59%

Бильбао Атлетик Б0.78

Гости share of expected goals 33.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 43% · Нет 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Самора КФ

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Бильбао Атлетик Б

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
26%
7
Points from supplied form
12
1.55
Expected goals
0.78
Самора КФБильбао Атлетик Б
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Самора КФ signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Бильбао Атлетик Б signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Самора КФ vs Бильбао Атлетик Б FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Самора КФ выигрыш 45%,Ничья 30%,Бильбао Атлетик Б выигрыш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · ТБ 2.5 41% · Current selection Меньше