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ESP Spania - Primera Division RFEF - Grupa 1 · Meci ·

Zamora CF vs Athletic Bilbao B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.33 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde45%
Egal30%
Victorie oaspeți26%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde45% selection probability
Projected score2–1Zamora CFAthletic Bilbao B
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub59% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
45% / 30% / 26%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Athletic Bilbao B win (25.7%)Șansă dublă1X74.3%1.35
Peste 41% · Sub 59%Goals 2.5Sub59%1.69
Da 43% · Nu 57%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu57%1.75
2.33 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapZamora CF winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Zamora CF win45%2.222.0543.7%+1.3 pp
Egal30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp
Athletic Bilbao B win26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Zamora CF1.55

Gazde share of expected goals 66.5%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 41% · Sub 59%

Athletic Bilbao B0.78

Oaspeți share of expected goals 33.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 43% · Nu 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Zamora CF

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Athletic Bilbao B

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Câștig probability excluding draw
26%
7
Points from supplied form
12
1.55
Expected goals
0.78
Zamora CFAthletic Bilbao B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Zamora CF signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Athletic Bilbao B signalOaspeți unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Zamora CF vs Athletic Bilbao B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Zamora CF câștig 45%,Egal 30%,Athletic Bilbao B câștig 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Peste 2.5 41% · Current selection Sub