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ESP スペイン プリメーラディビシオンRFEF - グループ1 · 試合 ·

サモラCF vs アスレティック・ビルバオB

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.33 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利45%
引き分け30%
アウェイ勝利26%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利45% selection probability
Projected score2–1サモラCFアスレティック・ビルバオB
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー59% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
45% / 30% / 26%試合結果ホーム勝利45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes アスレティック・ビルバオB win (25.7%)ダブルチャンス1X74.3%1.35
オーバー 41% · アンダー 59%Goals 2.5アンダー59%1.69
はい 43% · いいえ 57%両チーム得点いいえ57%1.75
2.33 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.6 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapサモラCF winDifference+1.3 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
サモラCF win45%2.222.0543.7%+1.3 pp
引き分け30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp
アスレティック・ビルバオB win26%3.853.4026.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

サモラCF1.55

ホーム share of expected goals 66.5%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 41% · アンダー 59%

アスレティック・ビルバオB0.78

アウェイ share of expected goals 33.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 43% · いいえ 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

サモラCF

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アスレティック・ビルバオB

2.40pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn0Losses1ポイント12

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
勝ち probability excluding draw
26%
7
Points from supplied form
12
1.55
Expected goals
0.78
サモラCFアスレティック・ビルバオB
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01サモラCF signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アスレティック・ビルバオB signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

サモラCF vs アスレティック・ビルバオB FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

サモラCF 勝ち 45%,引き分け 30%,アスレティック・ビルバオB 勝ち 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · オーバー 2.5 41% · Current selection アンダー