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ESP スペイン プリメーラディビシオンRFEF - グループ1 · 試合 ·

メリダ vs デポルティーボ・ファブリル

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.44 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利42%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利30%
Market-based forecastホーム勝利Tier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利42% selection probability
Projected score1–1メリダデポルティーボ・ファブリル
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー56% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
42% / 28% / 30%試合結果ホーム勝利42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)ダブルチャンス1272%1.39
オーバー 44% · アンダー 56%Goals 2.5アンダー56%1.79
はい 49% · いいえ 51%両チーム得点いいえ51%1.96
2.44 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.0 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimなし
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
メリダ win42%2.382.1541.9%
引き分け28%3.573.2028.1%
デポルティーボ・ファブリル win30%3.333.0030%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

メリダ1.35

ホーム share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 44% · アンダー 56%

デポルティーボ・ファブリル1.09

アウェイ share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 49% · いいえ 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

メリダ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

デポルティーボ・ファブリル

1.75pts / match
試合数4Wins2Drawn1Losses1ポイント7

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
勝ち probability excluding draw
30%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.35
Expected goals
1.09
メリダデポルティーボ・ファブリル
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01メリダ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02デポルティーボ・ファブリル signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

メリダ vs デポルティーボ・ファブリル FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

メリダ 勝ち 42%,引き分け 28%,デポルティーボ・ファブリル 勝ち 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · オーバー 2.5 44% · Current selection アンダー