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ESP España - Primera Federación - Grupo 1 · Partido ·

Mérida vs Deportivo Fabril

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.44 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local42%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante30%
Market-based forecastVictoria localTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local42% selection probability
Projected score1–1MéridaDeportivo Fabril
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de56% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
42% / 28% / 30%Resultado del partidoVictoria local42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Doble Oportunidad1272%1.39
Más de 44% · Menos de 56%Goals 2.5Menos de56%1.79
Sí 49% · No 51%Ambos equipos marcanNo51%1.96
2.44 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNinguno
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mérida win42%2.382.1541.9%
Empate28%3.573.2028.1%
Deportivo Fabril win30%3.333.0030%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mérida1.35

Local share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 44% · Menos de 56%

Deportivo Fabril1.09

Visitante share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Mérida

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Deportivo Fabril

1.75pts / match
Jugados4Wins2Drawn1Losses1Puntos7

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Ganado probability excluding draw
30%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.35
Expected goals
1.09
MéridaDeportivo Fabril
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mérida signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Fabril signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Mérida vs Deportivo Fabril FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mérida ganada 42%,Empate 28%,Deportivo Fabril ganada 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Más de 2.5 44% · Current selection Menos de