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ESP Испания - Примера Дивисион РФЕФ - Група 1 · Мач ·

Мерида vs Депортиво Фабрил

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.44 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина42%
Равен28%
Победа за госта30%
Market-based forecastПобеда за домакинаTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина42% selection probability
Projected score1–1МеридаДепортиво Фабрил
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под56% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
42% / 28% / 30%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Двоен шанс1272%1.39
Над 44% · Под 56%Goals 2.5Под56%1.79
Да 49% · Не 51%И двата отбора да отбележатНе51%1.96
2.44 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.0 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНяма
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Мерида win42%2.382.1541.9%
Равен28%3.573.2028.1%
Депортиво Фабрил win30%3.333.0030%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Мерида1.35

Домакин share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 44% · Под 56%

Депортиво Фабрил1.09

Гост share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 49% · Не 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Мерида

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Депортиво Фабрил

1.75pts / match
Изиграни4Wins2Drawn1Losses1Точки7

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
30%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.35
Expected goals
1.09
МеридаДепортиво Фабрил
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Мерида signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Депортиво Фабрил signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Мерида vs Депортиво Фабрил FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Мерида печеливш 42%,Равен 28%,Депортиво Фабрил печеливш 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Над 2.5 44% · Current selection Под