Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 28% / 30%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Double chance1272%1.39
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.44 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Merida win42%2.382.1541.9%—
Draw28%3.573.2028.1%—
Deportivo Fabril win30%3.333.0030%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 55.3%
Total expected goals2.44Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%
Away share of expected goals 44.7%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchMerida
DWLLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.75pts / matchDeportivo Fabril
DWWL
Played4Wins2Drawn1Losses1Points7
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
42%
Win probability excluding draw
30%7
Points from supplied form
71.35
Expected goals
1.09MeridaDeportivo Fabril
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
Merida vs Deportivo Fabril FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Merida win 42%，Draw 28%，Deportivo Fabril win 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.44 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under。