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ESP Spania - Primera Division RFEF - Grupa 1 · Meci ·

Merida vs Deportivo Fabril

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.44 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde42%
Egal28%
Victorie oaspeți30%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde42% selection probability
Projected score1–1MeridaDeportivo Fabril
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub56% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
42% / 28% / 30%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Șansă dublă1272%1.39
Peste 44% · Sub 56%Goals 2.5Sub56%1.79
Da 49% · Nu 51%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu51%1.96
2.44 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
9.0 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Merida win42%2.382.1541.9%
Egal28%3.573.2028.1%
Deportivo Fabril win30%3.333.0030%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Merida1.35

Gazde share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 44% · Sub 56%

Deportivo Fabril1.09

Oaspeți share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 49% · Nu 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Merida

1.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puncte7

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Deportivo Fabril

1.75pts / match
Jucate4Wins2Drawn1Losses1Puncte7

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Câștig probability excluding draw
30%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.35
Expected goals
1.09
MeridaDeportivo Fabril
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Merida signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Fabril signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Merida vs Deportivo Fabril FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Merida câștig 42%,Egal 28%,Deportivo Fabril câștig 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Peste 2.5 44% · Current selection Sub