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ESP Spanien - Primera Division RFEF - Gruppe 1 · Kamp ·

Merida vs Deportivo Fabril

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.44 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr42%
Uafgjort28%
Udesejr30%
Market-based forecastHjemmesejrTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr42% selection probability
Projected score1–1MeridaDeportivo Fabril
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
42% / 28% / 30%KampresultatHjemmesejr42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Dobbeltchance1272%1.39
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Ja 49% · Nej 51%Begge hold scorerNej51%1.96
2.44 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Merida win42%2.382.1541.9%
Uafgjort28%3.573.2028.1%
Deportivo Fabril win30%3.333.0030%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Merida1.35

Hjemme share of expected goals 55.3%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

Deportivo Fabril1.09

Ude share of expected goals 44.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nej 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Merida

1.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Point7

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Deportivo Fabril

1.75pts / match
Spillet4Wins2Drawn1Losses1Point7

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vundet probability excluding draw
30%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.35
Expected goals
1.09
MeridaDeportivo Fabril
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Merida signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Fabril signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Merida vs Deportivo Fabril FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Merida vundet 42%,Uafgjort 28%,Deportivo Fabril vundet 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under