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ESP Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · Fixture ·

Real Aviles CF vs Pontevedra

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.84 expected goals
Away form
Home win34%
Draw29%
Away win37%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win37% selection probability
Projected score1–2Real Aviles CFPontevedra
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 29% / 37%Match resultAway win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.9%)Double chance1271.1%1.41
Over 54% · Under 46%Goals 2.5Over54%1.85
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.84 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapPontevedra winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Aviles CF win34%2.942.6034.7%-0.7 pp
Draw29%3.453.1029.1%-0.1 pp
Pontevedra win37%2.702.5036.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Aviles CF1.15

Home share of expected goals 40.5%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 54% · Under 46%

Pontevedra1.69

Away share of expected goals 59.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Real Aviles CF

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Pontevedra

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Win probability excluding draw
37%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.15
Expected goals
1.69
Real Aviles CFPontevedra
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Aviles CF signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pontevedra signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Real Aviles CF vs Pontevedra FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Aviles CF win 34%,Draw 29%,Pontevedra win 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Over 2.5 54% · Current selection Over