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ESP Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 1 · Fixture ·

Cacereno vs Mirandes

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.42 expected goals
Away form
Home win34%
Draw28%
Away win38%
Market-based forecastAway winTier B · 38% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win38% selection probability
Projected score1–1CacerenoMirandes
Expected goals2.42Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 28% / 38%Match resultAway win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.1%)Double chance1271.9%1.39
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreNo50%2.00
2.42 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cacereno win34%2.942.7532.7%
Draw28%3.573.2028.1%
Mirandes win38%2.632.3039.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cacereno1.21

Home share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.42Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

Mirandes1.21

Away share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Cacereno

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Mirandes

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Win probability excluding draw
38%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.21
Expected goals
1.21
CacerenoMirandes
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cacereno signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mirandes signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Cacereno vs Mirandes FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cacereno win 34%,Draw 28%,Mirandes win 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.42 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under