Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 29% / 33%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)Double chance1271.3%1.40
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapArenas Club de Getxo winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Arenas Club de Getxo win39%2.562.3538%+1.0 pp
Draw29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
Racing Ferrol win33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 57%
Total expected goals2.51Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%
Away share of expected goals 43%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchArenas Club de Getxo
LLWWW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome won 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchRacing Ferrol
WDLDD
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
39%
Win probability excluding draw
33%9
Points from supplied form
61.43
Expected goals
1.08Arenas Club de GetxoRacing Ferrol
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Arenas Club de Getxo vs Racing Ferrol FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Arenas Club de Getxo win 39%，Draw 29%，Racing Ferrol win 33%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.51 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under。