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ESP Hiszpania - Primera Division RFEF - Grupa 1 · Mecz ·

Arenas Club de Getxo vs Racing Ferrol

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy39%
Remis29%
Wygrana gości33%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Arenas Club de GetxoRacing Ferrol
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej54% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
39% / 29% / 33%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)Podwójna szansa1271.3%1.40
Powyżej 46% · Poniżej 54%Goals 2.5Poniżej54%1.85
Tak 51% · Nie 49%Obie drużyny strzeląTak51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
9.4 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapArenas Club de Getxo winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Arenas Club de Getxo win39%2.562.3538%+1.0 pp
Remis29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
Racing Ferrol win33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Arenas Club de Getxo1.43

Gospodarze share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 46% · Poniżej 54%

Racing Ferrol1.08

Goście share of expected goals 43%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 51% · Nie 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Arenas Club de Getxo

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkty9

SignalGospodarze won 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Racing Ferrol

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.43
Expected goals
1.08
Arenas Club de GetxoRacing Ferrol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Arenas Club de Getxo signalGospodarze won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Racing Ferrol signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Arenas Club de Getxo vs Racing Ferrol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Arenas Club de Getxo wygrana 39%,Remis 29%,Racing Ferrol wygrana 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Powyżej 2.5 46% · Current selection Poniżej