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ESP Spagna - Primera Division RFEF - Gruppo 1 · Partita ·

Arenas Club de Getxo vs Racing Ferrol

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa39%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite33%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Arenas Club de GetxoRacing Ferrol
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto54% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
39% / 29% / 33%Esito partitaVittoria casa39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)Doppia Chance1271.3%1.40
Sopra 46% · Sotto 54%Goals 2.5Sotto54%1.85
Sì 51% · No 49%Entrambe le squadre segnano51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapArenas Club de Getxo winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Arenas Club de Getxo win39%2.562.3538%+1.0 pp
Pareggio29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
Racing Ferrol win33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Arenas Club de Getxo1.43

Casa share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 46% · Sotto 54%

Racing Ferrol1.08

Trasferta share of expected goals 43%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Arenas Club de Getxo

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa won 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Racing Ferrol

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vinta probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.43
Expected goals
1.08
Arenas Club de GetxoRacing Ferrol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Arenas Club de Getxo signalCasa won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Racing Ferrol signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Arenas Club de Getxo vs Racing Ferrol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Arenas Club de Getxo vinta 39%,Pareggio 29%,Racing Ferrol vinta 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Sopra 2.5 46% · Current selection Sotto