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ESP Spanien - Primera Division RFEF - Grupp 1 · Match ·

Arenas Club de Getxo vs Racing Ferrol

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.51 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger39%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger33%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Arenas Club de GetxoRacing Ferrol
Expected goals2.51Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
39% / 29% / 33%MatchresultatHemmaseger39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.7%)Dubbelchans1271.3%1.40
Över 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Båda lagen gör målJa51%1.96
2.51 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapArenas Club de Getxo winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Arenas Club de Getxo win39%2.562.3538%+1.0 pp
Oavgjort29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
Racing Ferrol win33%3.032.7033.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Arenas Club de Getxo1.43

Hemma share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals2.51Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 46% · Under 54%

Racing Ferrol1.08

Borta share of expected goals 43%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Arenas Club de Getxo

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Racing Ferrol

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.43
Expected goals
1.08
Arenas Club de GetxoRacing Ferrol
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Arenas Club de Getxo signalHemma won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Racing Ferrol signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Arenas Club de Getxo vs Racing Ferrol FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Arenas Club de Getxo vunnen 39%,Oavgjort 29%,Racing Ferrol vunnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.51 · Över 2.5 46% · Current selection Under