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PRT ポルトガル プリメイラリーガ · Round 1 ·

エストリル vs ファマリカン

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.52 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利33%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利38%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利38% selection probability
Projected score1–1エストリルファマリカン
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー54% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
33% / 28% / 38%試合結果アウェイ勝利38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)ダブルチャンス1271.7%1.39
オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%Goals 2.5アンダー54%1.85
はい 51% · いいえ 49%両チーム得点はい51%1.96
2.52 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
9.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapエストリル winDifference-0.4 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
エストリル win33%3.032.8033.4%-0.4 pp
引き分け28%3.573.3028.4%-0.4 pp
ファマリカン win38%2.632.4538.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

エストリル1.17

ホーム share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 46% · アンダー 54%

ファマリカン1.35

アウェイ share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 51% · いいえ 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

エストリル

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn4Losses1ポイント4

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

ファマリカン

1.60pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn2Losses1ポイント8

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
勝ち probability excluding draw
38%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.17
Expected goals
1.35
エストリルファマリカン
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01エストリル signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ファマリカン signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

エストリル vs ファマリカン FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

エストリル 勝ち 33%,引き分け 28%,ファマリカン 勝ち 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · オーバー 2.5 46% · Current selection アンダー