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PRT Portogallo - Primeira Liga · Final ·

Estoril vs FC Famalicão

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score1–1Pronostico 1–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa33%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite38%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 38% selection probability
Prediction Perso
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite38% selection probability
Projected score1–1EstorilFC Famalicão
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto54% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
33% / 28% / 38%Esito partitaVittoria ospite38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Doppia Chance1271.7%1.39
Sopra 46% · Sotto 54%Goals 2.5Sotto54%1.85
Sì 51% · No 49%Entrambe le squadre segnano51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapEstoril winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estoril win33%3.032.8033.4%-0.4 pp
Pareggio28%3.573.3028.4%-0.4 pp
FC Famalicão win38%2.632.4538.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estoril1.17

Casa share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 46% · Sotto 54%

FC Famalicão1.35

Trasferta share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Estoril

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Punti4

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

FC Famalicão

1.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punti8

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vinta probability excluding draw
38%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.17
Expected goals
1.35
EstorilFC Famalicão
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estoril signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Famalicão signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Estoril vs FC Famalicão FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estoril vinta 33%,Pareggio 28%,FC Famalicão vinta 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Sopra 2.5 46% · Current selection Sotto