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PRT Portugal Primeira Liga · Final ·

Estoril vs Famalicao

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score1–1Prognose 1–1
Borte form
Hjemmeseier33%
Uavgjort28%
Borteseier38%
Full model forecastBorteseierTier A · 38% selection probability
Prediction Tapt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBorteseier38% selection probability
Projected score1–1EstorilFamalicao
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
33% / 28% / 38%KampresultatBorteseier38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Dobbel sjanse1271.7%1.39
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Ja 51% · Nei 49%Begge lag scorerJa51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapEstoril winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estoril win33%3.032.8033.4%-0.4 pp
Uavgjort28%3.573.3028.4%-0.4 pp
Famalicao win38%2.632.4538.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estoril1.17

Hjemme share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

Famalicao1.35

Borte share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nei 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Estoril

0.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Poeng4

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Famalicao

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
38%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.17
Expected goals
1.35
EstorilFamalicao
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estoril signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Famalicao signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Estoril vs Famalicao FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Borteseier · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estoril vunnet 33%,Uavgjort 28%,Famalicao vunnet 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under