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PRT Πορτογαλία - Πριμέιρα Λίγκα · Round 1 ·

Εστορίλ vs Φαμαλικάο

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.52 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου32%
Ισοπαλία28%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου39%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου39% selection probability
Projected score1–1ΕστορίλΦαμαλικάο
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω54% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
32% / 28% / 39%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1271.8%1.39
Άνω 46% · Κάτω 54%Goals 2.5Κάτω54%1.85
Ναι 51% · Όχι 49%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapΕστορίλ winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Εστορίλ win32%3.132.8832.4%-0.4 pp
Ισοπαλία28%3.573.3028.3%-0.3 pp
Φαμαλικάο win39%2.562.3839.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Εστορίλ1.17

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 46% · Κάτω 54%

Φαμαλικάο1.35

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 51% · Όχι 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Εστορίλ

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Φαμαλικάο

1.60pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Πόντοι8

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
39%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.17
Expected goals
1.35
ΕστορίλΦαμαλικάο
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Εστορίλ signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Φαμαλικάο signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Εστορίλ vs Φαμαλικάο FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Εστορίλ νίκη 32%,Ισοπαλία 28%,Φαμαλικάο νίκη 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Άνω 2.5 46% · Current selection Κάτω