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PRT Portugalsko - Primeira Liga · Round 1 ·

Estoril vs Famalicao

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score1–12.52 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích33%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostů38%
Full model forecastVýhra hostůTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostů38% selection probability
Projected score1–1EstorilFamalicao
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Méně54% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
33% / 28% / 38%Výsledek zápasuVýhra hostů38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Dvojitá šance1271.7%1.39
Více 46% · Méně 54%Goals 2.5Méně54%1.85
Ano 51% · Ne 49%Oba týmy skórujíAno51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsPřesné skóre1–1
9.7 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapEstoril winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estoril win33%3.032.8033.4%-0.4 pp
Remíza28%3.573.3028.4%-0.4 pp
Famalicao win38%2.632.4538.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estoril1.17

Domácí share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Více 46% · Méně 54%

Famalicao1.35

Hosté share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitAno 51% · Ne 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Estoril

0.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Body4

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Famalicao

1.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Body8

SignalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Výhra probability excluding draw
38%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.17
Expected goals
1.35
EstorilFamalicao
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estoril signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Famalicao signalDomácí matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Estoril vs Famalicao FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostů · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estoril výhra 33%,Remíza 28%,Famalicao výhra 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Více 2.5 46% · Current selection Méně