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PRT Portugal - Primeira Liga · Round 1 ·

Estoril Praia vs FC Famalicão

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.52 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa33%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante38%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Estoril PraiaFC Famalicão
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo54% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
33% / 28% / 38%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.3%)Dupla Chance1271.7%1.39
Acima 46% · Abaixo 54%Goals 2.5Abaixo54%1.85
Sim 51% · Não 49%Ambas as equipes marcamSim51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapEstoril Praia winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Estoril Praia win33%3.032.8033.4%-0.4 pp
Empate28%3.573.3028.4%-0.4 pp
FC Famalicão win38%2.632.4538.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Estoril Praia1.17

Mandante share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 46% · Abaixo 54%

FC Famalicão1.35

Visitante share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 51% · Não 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Estoril Praia

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Pontos4

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

FC Famalicão

1.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Pontos8

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
38%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.17
Expected goals
1.35
Estoril PraiaFC Famalicão
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Estoril Praia signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Famalicão signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Estoril Praia vs FC Famalicão FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Estoril Praia ganhou 33%,Empate 28%,FC Famalicão ganhou 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Acima 2.5 46% · Current selection Abaixo