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PRT Португалия - Примейра Лига · Round 1 ·

Ещорил vs Фамаликао

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.52 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина32%
Равен28%
Победа за госта39%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта39% selection probability
Projected score1–1ЕщорилФамаликао
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под54% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
32% / 28% / 39%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)Двоен шанс1271.8%1.39
Над 46% · Под 54%Goals 2.5Под54%1.85
Да 51% · Не 49%И двата отбора да отбележатДа51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.0%Largest probability gapЕщорил winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ещорил win32%3.132.8832.4%-0.4 pp
Равен28%3.573.3028.3%-0.3 pp
Фамаликао win39%2.562.3839.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ещорил1.17

Домакин share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 46% · Под 54%

Фамаликао1.35

Гост share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Не 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Ещорил

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn4Losses1Точки4

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Фамаликао

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
32%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
39%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.17
Expected goals
1.35
ЕщорилФамаликао
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ещорил signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Фамаликао signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Ещорил vs Фамаликао FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ещорил печеливш 32%,Равен 28%,Фамаликао печеливш 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Над 2.5 46% · Current selection Под