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PRT Portogallo - Segunda Liga · Round 1 ·

Lusitania Lourosa vs FC Porto B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.78 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa39%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite33%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lusitania LourosaFC Porto B
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra53% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
39% / 28% / 33%Esito partitaVittoria casa39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Doppia Chance1272%1.39
Sopra 53% · Sotto 47%Goals 2.5Sopra53%1.89
Sì 57% · No 43%Entrambe le squadre segnano57%1.75
2.78 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFC Porto B winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lusitania Lourosa win39%2.562.3039.1%-0.1 pp
Pareggio28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
FC Porto B win33%3.032.7532.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lusitania Lourosa1.33

Casa share of expected goals 47.8%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 53% · Sotto 47%

FC Porto B1.45

Trasferta share of expected goals 52.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 57% · No 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Lusitania Lourosa

0.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punti2

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

FC Porto B

1.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punti9

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vinta probability excluding draw
33%
2
Points from supplied form
9
1.33
Expected goals
1.45
Lusitania LourosaFC Porto B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lusitania Lourosa signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Porto B signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Lusitania Lourosa vs FC Porto B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lusitania Lourosa vinta 39%,Pareggio 28%,FC Porto B vinta 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Sopra 2.5 53% · Current selection Sopra