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PRT Portugali Segunda Liga · Round 1 ·

Lusitania Lourosa vs FC Porto B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score1–12.78 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit39%
Viik28%
Võõrsilvõit33%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lusitania LourosaFC Porto B
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üle53% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
39% / 28% / 33%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Topeltvõimalus1272%1.39
Üle 53% · Alla 47%Goals 2.5Üle53%1.89
Jah 57% · Ei 43%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah57%1.75
2.78 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
9.5 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFC Porto B winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeEnnustusÕiglane koefitsientReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lusitania Lourosa win39%2.562.3039.1%-0.1 pp
Viik28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
FC Porto B win33%3.032.7532.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lusitania Lourosa1.33

Kodu share of expected goals 47.8%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üle 53% · Alla 47%

FC Porto B1.45

Võõras share of expected goals 52.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 57% · Ei 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Lusitania Lourosa

0.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punktid2

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

FC Porto B

1.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punktid9

SignalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Võit probability excluding draw
33%
2
Points from supplied form
9
1.33
Expected goals
1.45
Lusitania LourosaFC Porto B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lusitania Lourosa signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Porto B signalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Lusitania Lourosa vs FC Porto B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lusitania Lourosa võit 39%,Viik 28%,FC Porto B võit 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Üle 2.5 53% · Current selection Üle