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PRT Πορτογαλία - Σεγκούντα Λίγκα · Round 1 ·

Lusitania Lourosa vs Πόρτο B

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.78 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου39%
Ισοπαλία28%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου33%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lusitania LourosaΠόρτο B
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω53% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
39% / 28% / 33%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1272%1.39
Άνω 53% · Κάτω 47%Goals 2.5Άνω53%1.89
Ναι 57% · Όχι 43%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι57%1.75
2.78 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.5 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapΠόρτο B winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lusitania Lourosa win39%2.562.3039.1%-0.1 pp
Ισοπαλία28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
Πόρτο B win33%3.032.7532.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lusitania Lourosa1.33

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 47.8%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 53% · Κάτω 47%

Πόρτο B1.45

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 52.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 57% · Όχι 43%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Lusitania Lourosa

0.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Πόντοι2

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Πόρτο B

1.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι9

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
33%
2
Points from supplied form
9
1.33
Expected goals
1.45
Lusitania LourosaΠόρτο B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lusitania Lourosa signalΓηπεδούχος matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Πόρτο B signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Lusitania Lourosa vs Πόρτο B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lusitania Lourosa νίκη 39%,Ισοπαλία 28%,Πόρτο B νίκη 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Άνω 2.5 53% · Current selection Άνω